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S&P Global sees credit rating breathing room for trade war rivals US and China

LONDON (Reuters) -The United States and China are unlikely to see a rapid hit to their credit ratings from a trade war, S&P Global's top sovereign analyst has said, with damage more likely concentrated on poorer countries and those already on downgrade warnings. S&P reaffirmed its "stable" outlook on its AA+ U.S. sovereign credit rating days before President Donald Trump announced his sweeping round of global trade tariffs in early April. It cited the U.S.' near 100%-of-GDP government debt level and a fiscal deficit running at 6%-7% of GDP as its key credit weaknesses, while it also pointed to the significant uncertainty around Trump's trade moves and other policies.

HSBC becomes latest brokerage to cut S&P 500 annual target below 6000 mark

The London-based brokerage cut its target to 5600 from 6700, which is in line with BofA Global Research's forecast. "Nearer term, the market should trade between recession and stagflation fears until the Fed cuts and tariff turmoil subsides," said HSBC strategists in a note. Global brokerages have been aggressively revising their targets for the benchmark index following Trump's evolving tariff policy as they are expected to dent corporate America's earnings and push the U.S. economy into a likely recession.